Sunday, October 4, 2009

Why Bharti-MTN Broke Up?

Narration: A mega transnational deal and over USD 20 billion transaction, a new south-south alliance, the creation of the world's third largest telecom firm, two public attempts, unprecedented government lobbying, a combined 12 months of negotiations, thousands of hours in legal fees and yet this deal came unstuck.

Anchor: We ask the question what went wrong in the Bharti-MTN deal and joining me to discuss that Lauri-Lynn Pursall, Partner of Mayer Brown, Bundeep Singh Rangar, Chairman of IndusView and Vivek Gupta, Partner at BMR Advisors.

The big question is what were the deal breakers? Here is what we know officially––the Bharti press release on Wednesday evening said, "This structure needed an approval from the government of South Africa which has expressed its inability to accept it in the current form." Hours after that a South Africa Treasury statement said, "When companies structure their relationships outside the current exchange control regulatory framework for such transactions, they require the approval of the Minister of Finance. This was the case with the proposed MTN-Bharti merger, which required certain exchange control and other approvals." But that's all the press release says since neither of these statements make any reference to a specific deal breaker, I spoke to a whole host of bankers and lawyers connected to the deal to piece this story together. However, it is entirely source based.

But here it is––sources say Bharti did not anticipate a South African demand for dual listing in the early part of the negotiation. In fact, all through the negotiations before May 25 and after since the deal structure had Public Investment Corporation's (PIC) approval dealmaker believe that to be tacit approval of the South African government. As PIC is a government-controlled fund sitting on the board of MTN as one of its largest shareholders. MTN was concerned about doing a deal through global depository receipts (GDR) and sources say it is MTN that insisted on Bharti asking for informal guidance from the Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI). That done both sides were expecting to announce a deal in the first half of September, and in fact, the offsite that Bharti management is currently on was meant to be a celebratory offsite and one to rally the troops to ensure deal integration. However, MTN went to the South African government for final clearance; the government was concerned about allowing the passage of control at MTN into foreign hands and raised the issue of protecting national identity. Dual listing was one such route. At first, MTN and the South African government only wanted some assurance from Indian officials that the African identity of MTN would not be compromised.

However, when Sebi amended the takeover regulations to distinguish between voting and non-voting GDRs, the South Africans got a bit spooked. If rules could change in a course of transaction then verbal assurance was not enough and so a South African government team arrived in India only to find that despite its best intentions, the Indian government could not realistically promise a timeline for dual listing. Since the issue of maintaining MTN's African identity remained unresolved, the deal came unstuck.

Whether MTN saw the writing on the wall and pulled out or there was some government pressure on MTN to pullout we will never know. But this is a source based story, I was able to piece together.

 

Q: Is this story plausible. What do you think was the potential deal breaker?

Gupta: The story bears out. It's obvious from the May 25 original press release, which was a detailed one, that significant amount of work had been done prior to the press release. It's also obvious that all stakeholders––the MTN board, the CEO, key stakeholders––were part of that statement. It was a joint statement, it was a deal that worked for Bharti, and it was a deal that worked for MTN. So it seemed like all the commercials were broadly in place. Then over the course of the couple of months, the exclusivity period and the negotiations happening, one heard of some constituents within the stakeholders of MTN wanting to sweeten the deals by a bit and in my view Bharti had the buffer to sweeten the deals somewhat–-5–7% and it does seem that Bharti would have exercised that buffer. So that done it does seem to me that the deal did not come unstuck on a commercial issue. It does seem to me that the deal came unstuck on a regulatory issue, and therefore, the story that you laid out at the beginning of the show seems fairly plausible to me.

 

Q: Would you agree that it was a regulatory issue, issues like would open offers be triggered or would this deal not be compliant with specific laws in either of the countries or do you think that this is a simple case of protectionism?

Rangar: It's a little more complicated than either one of them. It is possibly a simple case of protectionism. But I also think that something more is played here. If you think of the two players agreeing to commercials, having talked for now about two years of two rounds of discussions coming to an agreement why didn't the government of South Africa raise this issue before, why is it at the last minute when the deal was so close to happening by the end of the year. So I suspect that there was some lobbying going on at the South African end probably by competitors of Bharti or MTN but more likely Bharti and some other suitors out there who simply didn't want this deal to go through and political pressures are a nice way to stop the deal when all the commercials are agreed. 

 

Q: You have practiced law in Johannesburg; you know what the South African regulations say. What do you think the potential deal breaker could be? Could it be national interest? Has that been the case in previous deals in Africa?

Pursall: The South African government is interested in maintaining companies registered in domicile within their borders. I cannot say if that was the concern in this particular scenario but that is part of the reason why others who have done dual listing out of South Africa have structured them as dual listed companies maintaining a domicile companies in South Africa.

 

Q: Fit the dual listing concept into this deal for us. Where would a dual listing have had to be implemented? Would it be before the two companies proceeded towards the merger because that's what they said in their May 25 press release––Bharti would have 49% in MTN. MTN and its shareholders would have 36% in Bharti and then move towards a merger? Would the dual listing have to come before a merger, after a merger and how would it have allayed the fears of protecting the African identity and yet Bharti's commercial interest of having some control over MTN?

Pursall: Creating a dual listed structure entails having two separate companies reaching an agreement as to how they are going to manage a group of assets if it is one business and with that then they agree various methods of governing two separate companies. So they would agree as to how the board would be constituted. Usually you would have one single board or two boards with exactly the same board members on it and you would have one management structure reporting to both those boards. You generally see an implementation agreement which determines the ratio and that's the point that gives the commerciality to the deal and give their interest because you would determine a ratio between the two companies and that would be the voting rights that they would share in both companies. You will have to have a special arrangement as to how they would vote and presumably if the company legislation allowed for it the method of ensuring that the votes of one company have recognised when you have shareholders vote in the other.

 

Q: So would it mean that if Bharti was to have a 49% stake in MTN and MTN was to have 36% stake in Bharti that even if they had one common board under the dual listing structure Bharti would exercise more control on that board and MTN would exercise less control?

Pursall: Yes, evaluate each proportionate interest in the other and ensure that that is represented in the voting rights as their exercise at the shareholder meetings.

 

Q: What is the common benefit to shareholders of both Bharti and MTN because they would continue to be individually invested in either one of those companies? How does it work from a shareholder's perspective?

Pursall: There are very less reasons why you are going to a dual listing structure. The most common reasons would be for tax or accounting purposes. It might be that if did a full merger structure that you realise capital gains tax for one of the groups of shareholders which would not be a favourable position.

National identity is another reason if you want to maintain the registration of a company within a particular jurisdiction for political or social reasons and you then have your separate listings in each country, separate companies registered in each country. They would be able to say that they are still domicile, they are still a South African company or still an Indian company. They just share their voting and management and businesses.

Another reason might be that there might be joint venture structures within the group which have triggered provisions which means that outside third party joint venture could say there has been a change of control, and therefore, I am going to trigger my rights to buyout joint venture assets and a company could end up losing assets through triggering these provisions in any joint venture agreements. So you look at each of these dual listed structure that we have in place at the moment, each of them have particular reason for choosing that structure.

 

Q: What do you think the reason could have been in the case of Bharti-MTN? Why do you think the dual listing issue became such a big issue because in India we have been talking about nothing but dual listing for the last month or so?

Pursall: It's a structure South Africa is familiar with. We have seen it in other companies within South Africa that have either done mergers or in one instance they did a demerger. It was an entirely South African company and then they moved some of their assets offshore and created the dual listed structure but they always maintained a South African base. So for national identity and maintaining the statement that this is a South African company, it would be a strong motivation to have a dual listing structure in place.

 

Q: If a dual-listed structure would still give Bharti higher voting rights on account of the higher share it had why would the South African government ask for it because technically control would still be with Bharti of that dually listed combination of companies or the two companies. Was it just the perception that MTN continued to be domicile and listed in South Africa? Was it the perception of MTN retaining control that South Africa was looking for?

Rangar: Possibly. But if you look at it even 49% shareholding, they still had control. So they had 51% retained interest in MTN. Bharti was ultimately getting 49% and in return giving 36% of Bharti to MTN shareholders. S I am not quite sure that from a structure perspective it really changes anything. It's more of a perception issue. There are a lot of governments––Switzerland, France and others––who keep a strong interest in their national telecom companies as a matter of national interest and keeping an interest in national asset. So telecom companies are seeing that. But the difference here, of course, is that MTN is not just South African it's very African. It's mobile as opposed to fixed line telecom which is most government's traditional interest and at the end of the day it wouldn't change whole amount in terms of giving any great control to MTN shareholders because they still would have 51% existing commercial deal contemplating between the two companies. So it is more perception, it is more of a political statement than anything that changes the commercial reality of the deal.

 

Q: Your thoughts on that?

Gupta: I agree with Bundeep. If you were to view this transaction in its two phases––phase one where the shares swap is happening, 49% in exchange of 36%. All the dual listing is doing is to operationally make available dividend cash flows on an effective as if basis to the two sets of shareholders and at that time the whole overriding issue of a South African domicile does not come into being because MTN continues its separate existence as a South African company because all that has happened is just a share swap.

Phase two that was in the May 25 statement––a mere intension, it did not seem like it was a bound agreed path. Phase two which was the merger phase is potentially where, perceptionally, there could be an issue of losing the South African domicile, and therefore, dual listing working out. But that seems to suggest that the government could have approved phase one of the transaction and held back phase two and one could seen how the law was in both countries and it would have been clear to both parties that eventual merger would be subject to resolution of this dual-listed company (DLC) issue. So I am not quite sure whether the DLC issue has been used in the end by the government on a control call that was taken in South Africa by either MTN or by the government or whether this dual listing issue was a very genuine issue.

 

Q: Do you have a view on that?

Rangar: Yes. If you look at the dual listing, as Lauri was saying, it is to give one company treated as two sides of a same coin. You are treating this as one entity with two access points for shareholders and in this situation it would not be fair to either MTN or Bharti shareholders. The growth rates in both countries are different as in one case a continent Africa and one case is a country, India. The dynamics of commoditisation of pricing in India is different from Africa where it's increasing. The advent of new services is different and Bharti's shareholders might have to pay a price for 3G auctions that Bharti is likely to participate in India later this year. So in many ways the interests of shareholders are better preserved by having two different companies, and of course, shareholding where each has a hedge against the potential downside but also sharing of the potential upsides in each of the individual dynamic markets. But dual listing for the same entity, in fact, would penalise both shareholders––they are not party to. Why should African shareholders pay a greater price if India's 3G auctions are more expensive than anticipated and why should Bharti be impeded in someway to going into other geographies be it South America, North Africa or Central Asia. Wherever they want to go into as a dual listed company that certainly will create more restrictions, I suspect, than the current structure which is, crossholdings don't have access to each others markets but not have this kind of blended corporate structure in the form of a dual listing that Lauri described earlier. This is a better deal for shareholders, it really begs a question––why the impediment at this stage and it really seems to be far more political than you think commercial.

 

Q: Do you agree that a dual listing could have put one set of shareholders at a disadvantage because of the limitations of the other company or the burden on the other company, expenses, etc. or the lower growth rates?

Pursall: I agree to some extent that it's possibly an outcome of having a dual listing. What a dual listing actually achieves is the merger status far quicker because from the moment you agree to dual listing and you agree to implementation and integration and agreements and agree a way of equalising to ensure that no one company shareholders benefit at the expense of the other. You have a mechanism with all shares together in the benefits and the risks that the business as a whole gets involved in wherever it is whether it is expanding into other jurisdictions or not.

Rangar: It is typically one company that has two listing like one on one exchange and one on the other. It's very unlike having two different companies have dual listing.

Pursall: We talk about cross listing which is one company having two listings. The dual listed company structure which you have seen a lot of large mining companies that involved in Rio Tinto and BHP Billiton all of them are two separate companies who are listed separately, who have totally different share registered but the underlying business is merged and operated as equally one entity.

 

Q: Final question to put to all three of you and this goes back to what you were saying which is the first phase of the transaction and why the transaction couldn't have stayed there. Do you think that Bharti would have been happy with just 49% stake in MTN, having spent all that money and having some sense of board controlled but maybe not all board control? Would it have made sense for this deal to start at phase one and stayed at phase one. There would have to be some other culmination wouldn't there?

Gupta: Not really. If Bharti owns almost half the asset economically and has board control, and therefore consolidates, the asset from a financial reporting perspective. It's not altogether a bad deal because Bharti gets access, Bharti gets control. As Bundeep pointed out, Bharti gets an edge. So I would not say that even if that were not to culminate into a desired outcome 36 months down the line of a full merger, I would not say that that would have been a big dampener for Bharti. The deal worked for Bharti in that format. If not in 36 months India would move to capital account convertibility in some period of time maybe five years, maybe six years who knows. So I do not necessarily believe that just doing phase one now with intent to somehow merge in future, resolving the dual listing issue, etc. would have been a bad deal for either Bharti or MTN.

 

Q: If that was the case why didn't they at least try to do just phase one? MTN and South Africa shouldn't have had any problem with that because Bharti would not have had complete control over MTN and then as and when the deal progressed and as and when capital account convertibility in India progress maybe they would have looked at other options or combination or a culmination so to speak?

Gupta: That's why I said in the beginning that I don't know or I don't understand why this dual listing issue was a big dampener. In my view, the deal should have happened as a phase one deal. Therefore it suggests to me that there is something greater, maybe, political as been they polluted to. There is something greater behind this deal not happening.

 

Q: Do you think as a lawyer that just doing this deal until phase one would have made sense for both parties?

Pursall: If it's a question of ensuring that it is a true merger having a significant shareholder block of 49% would effectively give Bharti control because to counteract any Bharti vote you need to have all the other remaining shareholders voting against which in a listed company is not considered a feasible option at all. So they would be seen as Bharti taking control over MTN and if they were concerned that the merger might not happen that might influence the decision making. I am only speculating on this point.

 

Q: Would you like to add to that?

Rangar: What I would say is that this seems such a thought through way of not making the deal happen that I suspect there is more than meets the eye. What I pointed at the very outset that if you wanted to the block the deal let us find the ways to break it, not happen, let us have the structure of dual listing which we know will not be acceptable in the current commercial agreement, especially, for phase two just like you said why not phase one. It only effects dividend distribution. So they should have gone ahead. It seems to me that the greater stuff behind the scene which is going on.

 

Source: http://www.moneycontrol.com/news/management/why-bharti-mtn-broke-up_417549.html


 
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