Wednesday, October 28, 2009

RBI hikes SLR by 1%, leaves key rates unchanged

 A hawkish Reserve Bank of India (RBI), while staying away from hiking key rates like repo or reverse repo, hiked the statutory liquidity ratio (SLR) to 25% from 24%. The cash reserve ratio (CRR), the minimum amount banks need to park with the RBI, was also left unchanged.

Repo and reverse repo are rates at which the RBI lends to banks and vice versa while SLR is the minimum amount of cash, gold or bonds banks need to maintain with themselves.

 

By hiking the SLR, the RBI may be signalling its leaning towards tightening the accommodative monetary policy.

 

Late last year and during early 2009, the RBI and the government of India introduced various measures including cutting rates and releasing stimulus packages to boost lending and demand in the economy.

 

Inflation target upped

While the excess liquidity in the system may have succeeded in turning the economy back on the recovery track, it could be meet its first after-effect in the form of rising inflation soon. In fact, in the mid-term review, the RBI increased its March-end wholesale price index (WPI) inflation estimate to 6.5% with an upward bias, revised from its earlier target of 5%.

 

The estimate for FY10 gross domestic product (GDP) growth was left unchanged at 6.0% with an upward bias.

 

Also, the central bank cut its FY10 credit growth target to 18% from 20% that it had set in the July monetary policy review.

 

Stricter NPA norms

The RBI also asked banks to ensure that their total provisioning coverage ratio is not less than 70% and imposed a timeframe of September 2010 to achieve this target. The coverage ratio is a measure of the bank's ability to absorb potential losses for non-performing assets (NPAs) and is arrived at by calculating the loan loss reserve balance with the total non-performing loans.

 

Most banks will thus to significantly raise the coverage ratio.

 

Realty loans tighter

Among one of the discernible decisions that the RBI took in its review, it increased the provisioning requirement for advances to the commercial real estate sector classified as 'standard assets' from the present level of 0.40% to 1%, a move that makes lending to the sector tougher. "In view of large increase in credit to the commercial real estate sector over the last one year and the extent of restructured advances in this sector, it would be prudent to build cushion against likely non-performing assets," the RBI said.

 

RBI view

"There has been a discernible improvement in the global economic outlook since the First Quarter Review in July 2009," RBI Governor Duvvuri Subbarao said, in his review statement. "In India too, there are definitive indications of the economy reverting to the growth track. Accordingly, attention around the world, as also in India, has shifted from managing the crisis to managing the recovery."

 

Subbarao admitted that India faced a unique dilemma that developed nations did not face — that of inflation: "First, most of these countries do not face an immediate risk of inflation. Indeed, in several advanced economies, the concerns were about a possible deflation, which are just about waning. On the other hand, India is actively confronted with an upturn in inflation."

 

The governor said that, around the world, timing an exit from the stimulus packages was leading to an "active and animated" debate. "The 'exit' is a central issue in our policy matrix too. As the Reserve Bank has indicated in several public statements, our current monetary stance is not the steady state and we need to reverse the expansionary stance," he noted as he made cases for both beginning and deferring the monetary tightening.

 

Experts react

"We are very happy that the governor and the RBI have kept the main parameters of the policy intact. This is what we had hoped for," Finance Secretary Ashok Chawla said. "The composite number of inflation is expected to be about 6% by the end of March 2010. That is something, which will be kept in mind by the policymakers both here as well as the RBI as they have mentioned in their policy statement."

Reacting to the monetary policy, HDFC Bank's Chief Economist Abheek Barua said the hike in SLR would support the large borrowing programme of the Centre and states. "I see the RBI hiking the CRR in December 2009 or January 2010," he said.

 

The RBI upping the provision for lending to real estate will affect affordable housing, realty projects, HDIL said. "We will have to up prices to nullify the RBI hike," a clearly distraught HDIL said.

 

— With inputs from CNBC-TV18 and agencies
Published on Tue, Oct 27, 2009 at 11:23 , Updated at Tue, Oct 27, 2009 at 20:15
Source : Moneycontrol.com

http://www.moneycontrol.com/news/economy/rbi-hikes-slr-by-1-leaves-key-rates-unchanged_421041-0.html


 
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Sunday, October 25, 2009

Sunday Newsletter 25-10-2009

 

Sunday Newsletter for 25-10-2009

 

Weekly Change

Index 17-Oct-09 23-Oct-09 Change(Pts) Average Daily Volume (Rs.Crores) Change in Volume (% over previous week)
Sensex 17,326.01 16,810.81 -515.20 5574 4.30
Nifty 5141.8 4997.05 -144.75 17294 9.61

 

Volatility Watch

Date 11-07-07 (Base Value) 19-10-09 20-10-09 21-10-09 22-10-09 23-10-09
SENSEX 14910.62 0.00 17223.01 17009.17 16789.74 16810.81
Raghav's Picks Sensex Volatility Indicator 100.00 0.00 76.18 73.00 72.27 71.27

 

 

Indices Watch 23-10-2009

Index Previous Close Open High Low Close % Change
Sensex 16789.74 16795.66 17006.77 16765.20 16810.81 0.13
BSE - Midcap 6444.27 6506.33 6575.46 6488.06 6510.89 1.03
S&P CNX Nifty 4988.60 4986.55 5054.95 4983.25 4997.05 0.17
CNX Nifty Junior 9661.05 9695.85 9850.85 9695.85 9739.95 0.82
CNX IT 5033.60 5054.30 5163.90 5054.30 5126.15 1.84
CNX Bank Nifty 9090.10 9189.10 9261.60 9131.05 9188.40 1.08
S&P CNX 500 4089.80 4140.80 4149.65 4095.70 4104.75 0.37

 

 US$, 10 Year Bond Yield & Sensex Earnings Yield

Date Rs/$ 6.90% 2019 Bond % Sensex Earnings Yield %
22-10-2009 46.66 7.38 4.64
23-10-2009 46.45 7.47 4.65

 

 Inflation

Week ending Inflation (%)
03-10-2009 0.92%
10-10-2009 1.21%

 

 

 
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Tuesday, October 20, 2009

Deposit rates offered by companies

Deposit rates offered by companies
 

Pallavi Mulay, ET Bureau

Corporate FD is not new, but it was neglected for a long time. However, liquidity crunch in the past couple of years and turmoil in equity market made companies to revisit this option. Number of reputed companies like Tata Motors, HDFC, ICICI Home Finance, Godrej Industries, EXIM and HUDCO are now aggressively seeking deposits from public. They are very much similar to a bank fixed deposit.

The difference: one is parking his money with a company instead with the bank for a fixed duration and in return the company will offer interest at a predetermined rate on the amount deposited. Like banks, the tenure ranges from 1-7 years. But it is preferable to have corporate FD for short term like 1-3 years. It helps the investor to switch to other company if it requires. Premature withdrawal is also permitted at the company's discretion but it involves some cost.

Check out the deposit rates offered by companies

State Bank of India
Tenure: Less than 2 years
Cumulative: 6.25
Non Cumulative: 6.25
Miminmum Amount: Not Mentioned
Rating: NA

Tenure: Less than 3 years
Cumulative: 7
Non Cumulative: 7
Miminmum Amount: Not Mentioned
Rating: NA

HDFC Regular
Tenure: 12-23 months
Cumulative: 6.90
Non Cumulative: 6.65
Miminmum Amount: 20,000
Rating: AAA

Tenure: 24-35 months
Cumulative: 7.40
Non Cumulative: 7.15
Miminmum Amount: 20,000
 
HDFC Premium
Tenure: 15 months
Cumulative: 7.00
Non Cumulative: 6.75
Miminmum Amount: 20,000
Tenure: 30 months
Cumulative: 7.75
Non Cumulative: 7.50
Miminmum Amount: 20,000

Tata Motors Ltd
Tenure: 2 years
Cumulative: 8.00
Non Cumulative: 8.00
Miminmum Amount: 20,000
Rating: NA

Tenure: 3 years
Cumulative: 8.75
Non Cumulative: 8.75
Miminmum Amount: 20,000

Mahindra Finance Ltd
Tenure: 12 months
Cumulative: 8.00
Non Cumulative: 7.75
Miminmum Amount: 10,000**
Rating: FAA

Tenure: 18 months
Cumulative: 8.25
Non Cumulative: NA
Miminmum Amount: 10,000**

Tenure: 24 months
Cumulative: 8.50
Non Cumulative: 8.25
Miminmum Amount: 10,000**

Tenure: 36 months
Cumulative: 9.00
Non Cumulative: 8.75
Miminmum Amount: 10,000**

LIC Housing Finance Ltd
 Tenure: 1 years
Cumulative: 6.75
Non Cumulative: 6.75
Miminmum Amount: 10,000
Rating: FAAA

Tenure: 18 months
Cumulative: 6.80
Non Cumulative: 6.80
Miminmum Amount: 10,000

Tenure: 2 years
Cumulative: 7.25
Non Cumulative: 7.25
Miminmum Amount: 10,000

Tenure: 3 years
Cumulative: 7.50
Non Cumulative: 7.50
Miminmum Amount: 10,000



 
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Saturday, October 17, 2009

Diwali Greetings

 
 

   
 
 
 
  Dear Friends,

Wishing you a Very Happy Diwali and a Prosperous New Year!

With market regaining the 17,000 mark, it is a amidst a hopeful atmosphere that we welcome Diwali this year. Investors are keen on participating in this ongoing rally and are advised to use India's growth drivers as guideposts for more investment.


Regards,

 
 
 
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Diwali Greetings

 
 

   
 
 
 
  Dear Friends,

Wishing you a Very Happy Diwali and a Prosperous New Year!

With market regaining the 17,000 mark, it is a amidst a hopeful atmosphere that we welcome Diwali this year. Investors are keen on participating in this ongoing rally and are advised to use India's growth drivers as guideposts for more investment.


Regards,

 
 
 
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BSE to conduct Muhurat trading on Diwali / Muhurat trading on Diwali in top 3 commodity bourses

The Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE) will have a special Muhurat trading for more than an hour on Diwali day on October 17.

Trading would be conducted between 6:15 pm and 7:25 pm, according to information available on the BSE's website.

Lakshmi Puja would be performed at the exchange at 4:00 pm and login for the trading will start at 5:15 pm.The country's three major commodity exchanges — Multi-Commodity Exchange, National Multi-Commodity Exchange and NCDEX — will have a special Muhurat trading for an hour on Diwali day on October 17.

The futures trading in all commodities would be conducted between 6.15 p.m. and 7.15 p.m. on Saturday, October 17, the bourses said in circulars issued separately.

"There would be no regular trading session on October 17 morning,'' NMCE said.

The client code modification, which is done to check any inadvertent errors in trade orders, is allowed between 7.15 p.m. and 7.20 p.m. at MCX and NMCE. While at NCDEX, it would be from 7.15 p.m. to 7.30 p.m. — PTI


 
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